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Weight Loss, Exercise and Smoking.


Thursday March 12, 2009

Reading Time: 4 minutes

By now I hope you have started an exercise program and are eating less. If not, get started.

Actually I did not exercise at the gym last week. I had a cold and felt the it was a good idea not to push myself. The first two days working out were tough, we will see how it goes tomorrow.

While exercise and weight loss are probably very very good for most people, the best thing that some can do for their health is to stop smoking. And if you don’t smoke, don’t start.

I started smoking in college and continued for a few years. The impending birth of my first child was the motivating factor that got me to stop. It was not easy but I did it. I really can not give you many tips on how to stop. I know how tough it is.

Last year my regular barber died of lung cancer. He had smoked for many years but quite about 20 years ago. He was a great guy who really loved his family. I am sure he would have loved to see his grandchildren grow up. His attitude was amazing and he worked as long and as much as he could but lung cancer is a very tough way to go.

Today one of my best friends from college is having two lobes removed from his right lung. He started smoking in high school and continued until a few years ago, so he probably smoked for 40 to 45 years. The doctors have told him that ten years ago the diagnosis would have been fatal. Now they hope that they can get it all. I have no idea how the operation turned out.

While it is hard to stop smoking, it also takes effort to get started. So if don’t smoke now, t here is no reason ever start.

Reading Time: 4 minutes

Well the free fall for the stock market continued in February. Lets take a look. The Dow Jones fell a whooping 11.7% and was down 19.5% for the first two months.

Lets look at our portfolios.
First the portfolio of 10 stocks from the Fortune Magazine article.

Name Symbol Feb Close Shares Cost basis Mkt value Gain Gain %
Altria Group, Inc. MO 15.44 65.74 1001.31 1015.0256 13.7156 1.37%
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. NLY 13.9 62.38 1000 867.082 -132.918 -13.29%
Dell Inc. DELL 8.53 96.68 1000 824.6804 -175.3196 -17.53%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN 43.67 15.07 1000 658.1069 -341.8931 -34.19%
Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. DO 62.64 16.8 1000 1052.352 52.352 5.24%
Fluor Corporation (NEW) FLR 33.25 22.06 1000 733.495 -266.505 -26.65%
Johnson & Johnson JNJ 50 16.55 1000 827.5 -172.5 -17.25%
Medco Health Solutions Inc. MHS 40.58 23.62 1000.71 958.4996 -42.2104 -4.22%
Pfizer Inc. PFE 12.31 55.9 1000 688.129 -311.871 -31.19%
Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA) POT 83.97 13.52 1000 1135.2744 135.2744 13.53%
Cash -2.02 -2.02
10002.02 8758.1249 -1241.8751 -12.42%

So we were off 12.4% for the year.

Our low risk portfolio performed better, or less awful.

Name Symbol Feb Close Shares Cost basis Mkt value Gain Gain %
Schwab Total Stock Market Index Inv SWTIX 13.17 181.52 2800 2390.618 -409.382 -14.62%
Schwab International Index Inv SWINX 10.5 90.43 1200 949.515 -250.485 -20.87%
Schwab Total Bond Market SWLBX 8.65 670.77 6000 5802.161 -197.84 -3.30%
Cash 0
10000 9142.294 -857.706 -8.58%

It is no surprise that the medium risk portfolio did worse:

Name Symbol Change Feb Close Shares Cost basis Mkt value Gain Gain %
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index VBMFX -0.02 10.01 390.79 4000 3911.808 -88.1921 -2.4
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VGTSX -0.06 8.65 167.6 1800 1449.74 -350.26 -20.02
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX -0.38 18.29 195.43 4200 3574.415 -625.585 -16.66
Cash 0
10000 8935.963 -1064.04 -10.64%

but still beat the averages and beat the Fortune Portfolio.

Lastly the very simple rebalance portfolio

Name Symbol Feb Close Shares Cost basis Mkt value Gain Gain %
iShares S&P 500 Index (ETF) IVV 74.21 57.75 5217.45 4285.628 -931.823 -17.86%
Cash 4782.55 4782.55 4782.55 0 0.00%
0 10000 9068.178 -931.823 -9.32%

which we rebalance to

Name Symbol Shares Mkt value
iShares S&P 500 Index (ETF) IVV 61.10 4534.09
Cash 4534.09 4534.09
9068.18

For the year it is down 10.32%

Not a good start to the year.

Reading Time: 3 minutes

On February 20th Francene Miyake and I were married. We are very happy, thanks.

Hawaiian Theme Wedding


At this stage of our lives neither needed or wanted a large wedding and major reception. We originally planned just going to see a judge and having a very simple ceremony in his chambers. We later decided on a ceremony at our home. The only guests would be family, the woman who introduced us, and her family – a total of eighteen guests.

We chose a Hawaiian theme. Francene was born in Hawaii and our yard has a look that is somewhat tropical. We also knew of two restaurants that had great Hawaiian food available for take-out.

This type of wedding can be done much less expensively than a more traditional event. And the guests all said they loved it. With a small wedding there is less pressure on everyone. It started on time and was short and sweet. We are just as married as if we had said our vows in front of 200 people and spent a small fortune on the reception. Having the reception at home allowed the teen age boys to play games in the family room, the adults to talk at the table, and the six year old to go back and forth between all generations.

Here are some out of pocket cost breakdowns. You might want to compare them to a wedding you financed.

Item How Done Incremental Cost
Save The Date Mailing EMail $0
Invitation EMail $0
RSVP EMail $0
Bride’s Dress Closet $0
Groom’s Clothes Closet $0
Flower Girl’s Dress Target $15
Flowers 3 Leis $100
Wedding Site Home $0
Judge Friend $0
Reception Site Home $0
Reception Plates, etc Paper with Hawaiian Theme $10
Reception Food Hawaiian Take Out $350
Reception Drink Beer and Wine $150
Photographer and Pictures Groom and Guest’s Digitals $0

So the total was about $625.

Click here for the full size official wedding picture from my camera:

Reading Time: 6 minutes

Many of us are “goal oriented” and achieving a goal can bring great personal satisfaction. I think that a goal such as “losing 10 pounds” is counterproductive. Certainly you might achieve the goal, but then what? After a while the weight always seems to come back.

I think that a better for losing weight and shaping up is to find lifestyle changes that result in eating less and exercising more and then monitoring your maintenance of those changes.

I decided this year to exercise more and eat less. I try to play golf on Saturday and Sunday and generally walk carrying my own bag. My first change is to always walk and carry my bag. We have a small gym at the club and my second change was to use one of the aerobic machines on Monday – Wednesday- Friday. The first Monday my legs were too tired. So I changed to using the machines Tuesday -Friday. If I don’t play golf then I try to get to the machines on the weekend. If I do neither on the week end day, then I will use the machine on Monday. In any case I have changed my lifestyle and adding this exercise to my routine. I am lucky. The club is close by, using the gym requires no additional cost, I can do it in any weather, and there are televisions showing news or sports so the time goes my quickly. I started at 20 minutes and am up to 30. I plan on adding some exercise with the strength machines in the near future.

Before starting I had a physical. I would highly recommend that to anyone before starting an exercise program.

Your lifestyle may make finding an exercise program more difficult, but if you try I am sure it can be done. Maybe you can jog or take a brisk walk before dinner or first thing in the morning or at lunch. Or jump rope. Or ride a bike. The point is to find something you can do for the long haul. And if the first thing you try does not work, try something else.

I have also cut back on my eating. Some days are better than others. When we go out I now bring back leftovers. I have reduced my snacks. I have reduced my portions. I have also reducing my alcohol intake. I still have a beer with my friends after golf and occasionally have a drink or some wine with dinner rather than on a regular basis as before.

I ate too much at a Super Bowl party and too much on a recent dinner out. I know I could do better in those situations. I also tend to snack too much when it readily available so I need to watch that.

At this point I feel better. I enjoy the exercise. I do not feel deprived. I am sleeping better.
So far I have lost six pounds this year. I know I could have gone on some kind of diet program and lost more but I have done that in the past and then gained the weight once I got tired of the diet. I think I can continue this for a long time.

Reading Time: 6 minutes

Many people made New Year’s Resolutions to lose weight and/or get in better physical shape. By now many have of those resolutions have been broken. I am going to lay out a plan for you to follow the rest of the month. Next week I will review what I am doing.

First of all I am not a physician. My first advice is to see your doctor and get his/her permission before you start. Your physician may recommend something different far better for your specific needs.

With that in mind, I think that that the two things one needs to do is :
1. Eat Less.
2. Exercise More.

Pretty simple.

Lets start with eating less. There are countless diet books with plans you can follow, packaged meals you can buy, and programs you can embark on. My advice is to eat what you are currently eating, just less of it. And much less of foods that you know provide little nutrition but lots of calories. So have smaller portions, especially desserts. Or maybe have smaller portions at meal time followed by fruit rather than ice cream for dessert.

Next, exercise more. I think that a successful exercise program includes aerobic exercise and strength building exercise, but you should start with something aerobic to start getting into the exercise routine. The trick is to find something you can do for 20-30 minutes almost every day and fits your lifestyle. Suppose you work from 9-5 with a 90 minute commute each day, well then maybe you need to find something to do at lunch time. Maybe you get home soon enough to take a nice walk before dinner. Or perhaps, you start late and can get in something in the early morning. Try to find something that does not involve a major investment. Walking and jumping rope are two possibilities. Maybe you can join the Y or a gym for a trial membership. You could have a treadmill or other piece of equipment being used as a clothes hanger.

The hard part is that you need to plan on doing this for the rest of your life. Eating less will happen if you just work at it. Exercise will take finding the exercises that fit into your life and don’t get terribly boring. Maybe you could walk with friends, or clean up the old treadmill and put it in front of a TV. Whatever it is you need to find something.

Here is what you need to accomplish the rest of February:
1. Weigh yourself and write it down. I would suggest with light clothes in the morning.
2. See your doctor and tell him/her that you are going to start an exercise program. Follow advice from your doctor.
3. Eat a little less. Do this almost every day.
4. Find one or more aerobic exercises you enjoy and do them for 20 minutes 3 or 4 times a week. If you try something and don’t like it, move on and try something else. You don’t have to do the same thing each day.

Good luck.

Reading Time: 5 minutes

January was not a good month for investors. The Dow and S and P 500 indexes both fell over 8.5% and the NASDAQ fell over 6 %. Lets look at the model portfolios set up in an earlier blog.

One portfolio was 10 stocks recommended by Fortune Magazine.

Name Symbol Last price Change Shares Cost basis Mkt value Gain Gain %
Altria Group, Inc. MO 16.54 -0.3 65.74 1001.31 1087.29 85.98 8.59
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. NLY 15.14 -0.01 62.38 1000 944.46 -55.54 -5.55
Dell Inc. DELL 9.5 -0.45 96.68 1000 918.46 -81.54 -8.15
Devon Energy Corporation DVN 61.6 -1.24 15.07 1000 928.08 -71.92 -7.19
Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. DO 62.76 -1.22 16.8 1000 1054.16 54.16 5.42
Fluor Corporation (NEW) FLR 38.9 -1.82 22.06 1000 858.28 -141.72 -14.17
Johnson & Johnson JNJ 57.69 -0.59 16.55 1000 954.59 -45.41 -4.54
Medco Health Solutions Inc. MHS 44.93 -0.81 23.62 1000.71 1061.34 60.63 6.06
Pfizer Inc. PFE 14.58 -0.54 55.9 1000 815.03 -184.97 -18.5
Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA) POT 74.86 -2.79 13.52 1000 1012.17 12.17 1.22
Cash -2.02 -2.02
10002.02 9631.84 -368.16 -3.68%

As you can see it fell a little over 3.5% and beat the averages.

Our lowrisk portfolio fell 4.6%, not as good but better than the averages.

Name Symbol Last price Change Shares Cost basis Mkt value Gain Gain %
Schwab Total Stock Market Index Inv SWTIX 14.35 -0.32 181.52 2800 2604.85 -195.15 -6.97
Schwab International Index Inv SWINX 11.63 -0.17 90.43 1200 1051.65 -148.35 -12.36
Schwab Total Bond Market SWLBX 8.75 -0.02 670.77 6000 5869.26 -130.74 -2.18
Cash 0 0
10000 9525.76 -474.24 -4.74%

Medium risk did worse, but still beat the averages.

Name Symbol Last price Change Shares Cost basis Mkt value Gain Gain %
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index VBMFX 10.07 3.05 390.79 4000 3935.29 -64.71 -1.62
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VGTSX 9.5 -0.12 167.6 1800 1592.23 -207.77 -11.54
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX 20 -0.45 195.43 4200 3908.58 -291.42 -6.94
Cash 0 0
10000 9436.1 -563.9 -5.64%

Lastly, our simple rebalancing portfolio performed thusly

Name Symbol Last price Change Shares Cost basis Mkt value Gain Gain %
iShares S&P 500 Index (ETF) IVV 82.97 -1.76 55.31 5005 4589.03 -415.97 -8.31
Cash 4995 4995 4995 0 0
10000 9584.03 -415.97 -4.16%

So we need to rebalance to get to a 50/50 split, so we buy a couple of shares of the ishare and now have this portfolio.

Name Symbol Shares Mkt value
iShares S&P 500 Index (ETF) IVV 57.76 4792.06
Cash 4792.02 4792.02
9584.07

Hopefully things will improve for investors.

Reading Time: 5 minutes

Dow Chemical is one of the most respected companies in America. A large chemical company they are known to all of us. Rohm and Haas is a smaller specialty chemical company. Much of the Rohm and Haas stock was owned by the Haas family, who wanted to sell out to diversify their holdings.

On July 9 of last year, Dow stock closed at $33.96 per share and their market capitalization was over $31 B. Rohm and Haas’ stock price was $44.83 per share and the market capitalization was just under $8.8 B. So Dow was more than 3.5 times larger than Rohm and Haas.

On July 10th Dow’s purchase of Rohm and Haas was announced. One way to do a deal would be what is called stock for stock, and Dow would have given Rohm and Haas shareholders Dow stock for their Rohm and Haas stock. Another is a cash price for the stock. I suspect that Rohm and Haas held out for cash, and Dow agreed to pay $78 per share or $15.3 B, a 74% premium over Dow’s closing price of $44.83. So on July 9 Dow was 3.5 larger than Rohm and Haas based on market cap, and about twice as large based on the premium price Dow was willing to pay.

Many thought the premium was too high. Now look at what’s happened since.

We all know that stock markets around the world have fallen dramatically. Dow’s stock price has fallen to $13.19/share on January 27th. Dow’s market cap is now about $12.2, so Dow is actually worth less than what they agreed to pay for Rohm and Haas. Rohm and Haas has not fallen nearly as much, probably because of the Dow deal. Rohm and Haas stock is $58.75/share, actually higher than the $44.83 on July 9th.

Dow says that they can not close the deal at this time. They are other factors involved as Dow is having trouble raising the capital.

My point is never to be too sure about anything when it comes to investing. Dow had to know Rohm and Haas inside and out. Dow probably had plans to cut costs and recover much of the premium. However by tying themselves to a price they subjected themselves to market risk, and the market has been very harsh.

If Dow had done a stock for stock deal, then it might have looked something like this. Dow would agree to give 2.3 shares of its stock for each share of Rohm and Haas stock. At $33.96/share the 2.3 times would be worth the same $78/share. However, at today’s price of $13.19, then Dow would be paying $30.30 per share for Rohm and Haas or just under $6B for Rohm and Hass, which is a far piece from the $15.3 B then Dow agreed to pay.

The companies are headed for the courthouse. It will be fun to watch it play out.

Reading Time: 4 minutes

President Obama and his advisors face some tough decisions regarding the banks.

Paul Krugman writes for the New York Times, teaches economics at Princeton, and won a Nobel Prize. He may be too liberal for some but he lies out the problem pretty well in this Op Ed piece on the NY Times.

Lets say we have a bank with assets of $2 trillion and liabilities of $1.9 trillion. So its net worth is $100 billion. However suppose that $400 billion is overprices – mortgage backed securities and other junk They may be only worth $200 billion. So the bank has really gone bust. It may still be open and its stock may have some value, but the value is based on the hope or expectation of a government bail out.

The government needs to bail the bank out because of its importance to the national and global financial system. The government let Lehman collapse, financial markets froze, and the world financial system nearly collapsed. So the government wants to avoid a repeat.

The government could just give the bank money, say $200 billion. However that would be a giant gift and would probably encourage more irresponsible risk taking in the future.

Another idea would be to do now what was done in the 80s with the Savings and Loans. The government took over the S and Ls, moved the bad assets to the newly created Resolution Trust Corporation, made the S and Ls solvent, then sold them.

Doing this with the banks will look like the government is nationalizing the banks. So a third idea is a variation and it appears to be the most likely. The government will move the bad assets from the private banks to a new government bank. The government will pay “fair value” for the bad assets.

While this approach looks good, its not a gift because the government is getting something in return and it not nationalizing the banks. However, how do you price the bad assets. Probably at more than they are worth. The price must be high enough to keep the banks solvent for one thing. For another, if the price was not too high then the banks could probably sell the assets to someone else. So it is really a gift disguised as something else.

I expect this will play out pretty soon. Will be interesting and historical to watch.

Reading Time: 2 minutes

If one has not invested with Bernard Maddoff that one can get a cheap education. If one has, then the education is possible but it is more expensive.

Fortunately I did not invest with Maddoff, never had the opportunity.

The first lesson is – “If its too good to be true, then it probably is not true.” Madoff consistently made about positive returns and returns that were above market. So when the market was down he was up, and when it was up, he was up more. No one can do that year after year.

The second is – “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket.” Granted some people have made fortunes without following this. However they knew exactly what they were doing. Maddoff investors really did not know what he was doing. Those that trusted him with all of the net worth are now in very bad shape.

These are not rocket science but they are worthy of your attention.

Reading Time: 5 minutes

One school of thought is that investors should be well diversified. If one investment goes down, then another may go up and things balance out. One tenet of those that preach diversification is that no one can predict movements in individual stocks or sectors, so diversify and reduce your risk. Those that preach diversification also generally think that the at any one time the market is right and future changes are unpredictable. Another concept, which may be a little tough to grasp, is that throughout history a “valuation” of the world has gone up, except perhaps for the Middle Ages. With technological advances one expects the world to get more valuable.

However most who have made great fortunes did little diversification. Suppose Bill Gates had said to himself, when his Microsoft stock was first worth $100,000 had probably represented a large portion o f his net worth, “Gee its crazy to have so much of my net worth in one company, I should sell 99% of it and put the rest in a mutual fund.” And did that repeatedly. You do not read about investors who made fortunes by diversifying, but rather because they made it “oil” or “real estate” or Microsoft. Even Warren Buffet keeps his holdings rather small.

Investors who do not diversify think that they with their brains and hard work can outperform the market over time. They think that the best you can hope for when you diversify well is to get “average” returns and so if they are smarter than average and work harder than average then they should exceed those returns.

The safety aspect of diversification can not be denied. We rarely read about those that had all of net worth in Enron and saw it vanish, or Lehman Brothers etc. Unfortunately there are people who were in that boat.

Diversification has a cost. You either need to pay someone to diversify for you, ie a mutual fund, or you need to pay the transaction costs of buying multiple assets. It took $100 to buy our Fortune Magazine group of 10 stocks but only $30 to buy 3 mutual funds. If you only had $100 then the commissions would have precluded buying the Fortune Magazine group. If you had $100,000 then the commissions would have been a much lower percentage of your assets.

If you think you are really good, then research the 10 companies on the Fortune list, pick 1 or 2, and see how you do against the portfolios.

Reading Time: 6 minutes

2008 was certainly a bad year for almost all investors. 2009 may be bad also, or not. However, if you sit out then you will miss the recovery, when and if it ever happens.

I thought it would be fun to track some investment ideas in 2009. Tools such as the portfolio at Google finance make this easy to do. For all of our portfolios we will hypothetically invest $10,000 and charge ourselves a discount brokers fee of $10 per transaction. We will also start with the closing prices as of December 31, 2008. Here are the initial set ups:

1. A portfolio of 10 stocks from the December 12 issue of Fortune Magazine. Fortune picked 10 stocks to own in 2009. We will buy $990 worth of each and use up our mythical $10,000 with the brokerage fee. Fortune did make these picks earlier in December and there has been some price movement since then.

Here is our starting value:

Name Symbol Last price Shares Mkt value
Altria Group, Inc. MO 15.06 65.74 990
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. NLY 15.87 62.38 990
Dell Inc. DELL 10.24 96.68 990
Devon Energy Corporation DVN 65.71 15.07 990
Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. DO 58.94 16.8 990
Fluor Corporation (NEW) FLR 44.87 22.06 990
Johnson & Johnson JNJ 59.83 16.55 990
Medco Health Solutions Inc. MHS 41.91 23.62 990
Pfizer Inc. PFE 17.71 55.9 990
Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA) POT 73.22 13.52 990
Valuation 9900

2. A “low risk” portfolio suggested by Daniel R. Solin in his book The Smartest Investment Book You’ll Ever Read. The portfolio consists of a total stock market index fund, a total international index fund, and an bond index fund, weighted 28%, 12% and 60%. We will use index funds from Charles Schwab.

Name Symbol Last price Shares Mkt value
Schwab Total Stock Market Index In SWTIX 15.37 181.52 2790
Schwab International Index SWINX 13.16 90.43 1190
Schwab Total Bond Market SWLBX 8.93 670.77 5990
Valuation 9970

3. A “medium risk” porfolio also suggested by Daniel R. Solin in his book The Smartest Investment Book You’ll Ever Read. This is similar to the low risk portfolio except it is weighted 42%, 18% and 40%. For fun, we will use Vanguard Funds rather than Schwab.

Name Symbol Last price Shares Mkt value
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index VBMFX 10.21 390.79 3990
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VGTSX 10.68 167.6 1790
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX 21.44 195.43 4190
Valuation 9970

4. Rebalance. We will start with 50% cash and 50% an S and P 500 exchange traded fund. Each month we will rebalance to the 50-50 allocation, spending $10 to make the trade.

Name Symbol Last price Shares Mkt value
iShares S&P 500 Index (ETF) IVV 90.31 55.31 4995
Cash 4995 4995
Portfolio 9990

I plan to post on the first Wednesday of each month the standings of each portfolio. I may add one or more in January, but the idea is to track these ideas going forward.

Do you have any you want to add?

Let the games begin.

Reading Time: 4 minutes

Bill Miller is a legendary mutual fund manager. Or, should I say, was a legend.

As this story in the Wall Street Journal reveals Miller certainly was a legend.

Miller managed the Legg Mason Value Trust Fund. From 1991 to 2005 the fund beat the broad averages every year. No other mutual fund manager can claim a streak like that.

Miller is a “contrarian.” He found stocks that he thought had value where others did not. He was usually a step or two ahead of the market. If you had invested $10,000 in his fund in 1991, then in second quarter of 2007 it was worth almost $109,000. A similar investment in the S & P 500 would have been worth less than $64,000. In the 4th Quarter of 2008, the $109,000 had fallen to less than $43,000 while the S & P 500 investment had fallen to just under $40,000.

Miller failed to beat the averages in 2006 when he missed energy stocks. In 2007 he bought stocks of home builders and lost. He thought that other investors were too pessimistic regarding the housing and credit markets and began buying Merrill Lynch, Washington Mutual and others.
He thought that financials had bottomed in the end of 2007 and began buying more. On Friday March 14th 2008 he bought Bear Stearns at $30/share and boosted of the “bargain” purchase of a stock that had been over $150. Over the weekend the weekend Bear Stearns collapsed and it was taken over for $2 per share. And this is a guy who was a Wall Street legend and who beat the aver

I would suppose that almost everyone investor is down this year. (Maybe you rent your home, have no investment real estate, and keep your money under your mattress, then you may not be down but I would not call you an investor.) If you did better than the most and lost less than the averages, congratulations. But don’t think you will do that forever. As Miller showed, even the best can go wrong.

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Most of us want to look our best for the Holidays. Many of us want a new look for the New Year. Some of us are considering mesotherapy. Almost all of us are feeling the effects of the economic downturn.

Dr. Simin Siddiq of the Meso Laser Clinic in the San Francisco Bay Area has come up with a pricing plan that all should find attractive. She is offering special holiday pricing on some of the most popular treatments. These holiday prices are in effect from now until January 31, 2009.

Restylane is one of most tried and true dermal fillers. It can soften aging lines and enhance your natural features. Restylane is $50 off during the holidays.

Juvederm is another dermal filler. Among other things it can reduce those smile lines. Juvederm treatments are $100 off during the holiday pricing period.

VelaShape is the first and only non-surgical FDA-cleared medical solution that contours, shapes and slims the body. VelaShape treatments are 30% off during the special pricing.

Botox is a simple, nonsurgical, physician-administered treatment that can temporarily smooth moderate to severe frown lines between the brows in people from 18 to 65 years of age. It is the only treatment of its type approved by the Food and Drug Administration. During the holiday pricing time, Dr. Siddiq’s Botox® treatments are $9 per unit for the holidays.

All other laser treatments are 25% off, if you buy a package.

Dr. Siddiq has offices in Fremont, Danville, and Menlo Park California. Contact her at 1-888-611-9211 or at 1-510-789-8870 for more information or an appointment. You can visit her web site at http://www.mesolaserclinic.com.

Reading Time: 3 minutes
Some people hire a company to build and promote their web site. Others get involved and help promote the site. The latter usually has more success on the Internet.
Here are six things you can do:
  1. Get articles published on the Internet. Articles give you credibility. Well designed links to your site embedded in the article improve your rankings and traffic.
  2. Maintain a blog. Blogs are easy ways for you to provide up to date information about your product or service or any other topic. Blogs are indexed rapidly by search engines. Again links to your site should improve rankings and traffic.
  3. Add a video. Some are starting to use YouTube as a search engine, see this Webconsuls Blog Post. Relatively inexpensive equipment makes this easy to do today.
  4. Market off line. Advertise your web site address as much as you can. Your site is probably more current and more complete than much of your print advertising, so encourage your print readers to go the site.
  5. Do cross marketing. Do you have suppliers, customers, neighboring business or others with you can promote their site and they promote yours? If so, add some content to your site and get them to add some promoting yours. You both might benefit.
  6. Check your website for proper spellings, content and phrases. The need for correct spelling and up to date content should be obvious. You should check your site for key word phrases in the content and work with your SEO company to promote those long tail phrases.


Webconsuls
has professionals who can work with you on all of the above.

Reading Time: 6 minutes

One aspect to running successfully any business is customer service. While I suppose it is possible to succeed with superior performance alone, a la Jerry Seinfield’s ‘Soup Nazi’, ignoring your customer needs and concerns will generally lead to failure. At Webconsuls, LLC we try to be both responsive to our customers and to exceed their performance expectation.

Here is personal example that illustrates my point.

I am renting out a townhouse, which is vacant. As part of the rental process I needed to have the locks rekeyed and also needed the stove replaced. I purchased a stove at an appliance store with a good reputation and fair prices. Salesman explained things well. Delivery was scheduled for Saturday morning between 9 and 11 am. I then went to a locksmith. He was nice enough but spoke with a European accent. I could barely understand him. I was able to schedule him between 9 and 10 the same Saturday.
Great.

Saturday morning rolls around and I went to the vacant townhouse, book in hand to keep me company. At 9 the locksmith called and said he will be late, between 10 and 11. No problem. The locksmith came at 10 and did his job. No word from the appliance company. At 11:15 I called, they then told me it will be between 12 and 1. At 1:15 I called, they said that they guy was just finishing up a job and would be there in 30 minutes.

When I questioned as to why no one ever called me with a new time I am told that the installer “Does not use his cell phone.” I asked why he has a cell phone and does not use it. They don’t know.

At 2 I called and they said he will be there between 3 and 4. I said I have to leave and will leave the empty house unlocked. They said no problem.

As I was driving, around 3:30, the appliance people called to tell me that they could not install the stove without damaging the tile floor. I needed to reschedule as they would not damage the floor without the owner approving. (Of course if they had come when the promised I would been there and could have approved.) I rescheduled for the next Wednesday between 9 and 11. On Monday I got a handyman to remove the old stove (he did have to damage the floor but he can fix it easily after the new stove is installed.)

On Wednesday I went back to the vacant townhouse to await the new stove. No one showed in the morning. I called at 11:15 and they told me 1. At 1:15 I called and they told 2. They finally came at 2:30.

I will never buy from that appliance store again. Their selection, prices, and workmanship might be great, but they have lost me as a customer. My tenant plans to buy a refrigerator, washer, and dryer in a couple of months. I will steer him away from the store.

If I ever need a locksmith, though I know where to go.

Reading Time: 26 minutes

By Richard Hutton

I
WATSON MURDER & IMPLIED MALICE

The California Supreme Court in the landmark case of People v. Watson (1981) 30 Cal 3rd 290 judicially created the crime of second degree murder, based upon an implied malice theory when a death or deaths occur as a result of a person driving impaired by alcohol and/or drugs. The critical element that distinguishes this type of second degree murder from gross vehicular manslaughter is the presence of implied malice rather than gross negligence. The Watson Court in defining this difference stated:

“The requisite culpability for the vehicular manslaughter charged here is gross negligence which has been defined as the exercise of so slight a degree of care as to raise a presumption of conscious indifference to the consequences. On the other hand, malice may be implied when a person, knowing that his conduct endangers the life of another, nonetheless acts deliberately with conscious disregard for life. Though these definitions bear a general similarity, they are not identical. Implied malice contemplates a subjective awareness of a higher degree of risk than does gross negligence, and involves an element of wantonness which is absent in gross negligence.” 30 Cal 3rd at 296. Citations omitted.

Implied malice is defined by CALCRIM 520 as an intentionally committed act, that the natural consequences of what are dangerous to human life and that the person knew that the act was dangerous to human life and deliberately acted with conscious disregard for human life.

The mental state of the accused is often the most significant issue in a Watson prosecution. Implied malice does require sufficient proof that the defendant deliberately acted with conscious disregard to human life, knowing that the acts were dangerous to human life. Thus, the actual mental state of a defendant becomes highly relevant in a Watson prosecution and the prosecutor is allowed to present evidence to establish that subjective mental state.
This evidence generally concerns a defendant’s prior conduct and knowledge of the dangers of drinking and driving in order to establish preexisting knowledge of the dangers of driving while intoxicated. The evidence usually includes evidence of prior DUI convictions, including dockets, transcripts and waiver forms which include the “Watson” admonitions if the prior is relatively recent. This admonition which must be included in all DUI tahl waiver forms, advises the defendant that “I understand that being under the influence of alcohol or drugs, or both, impairs my ability to safely operate a motor vehicle, and is extremely dangerous to human life to drive while under the influence of alcohol or drugs, or both. If I continue to drive while under the influence of alcohol or drugs, or both, and as a result of my driving, someone is killed, I can be charged with murder.”
Often the prosecution will also present evidence of the actual facts and circumstances of the defendant’s prior convictions. Police officers, civilian witnesses and/or criminalists are called and the effect is a mini DUI trial being tried as part of the Watson murder charge.
The prosecution will also introduce evidence of the defendant’s terms and conditions of probation, required attendance at DUI alcohol education programs, the actual content and material taught at the alcohol awareness classes and evidence of the defendant’s course records, including any essays written about the dangers of driving impaired. This evidence is admissible to establish the defendant’s actual knowledge and actual awareness of the risks in driving while impaired.
People v. Autry, 37 Cal. App. 4th 351 (1995), is very instructive for the purpose of evaluating whether there is sufficient evidence to establish the requisite mental state for implied malice. Autry cites several appellate cases and determines that most cases have relied on some or all the following factors in upholding implied malice second degree murder convictions:

Blood alcohol level above the .08% legal limit;

A pre-drinking intent to drive;

Knowledge of the hazard of driving while intoxicated;

Highly dangerous driving;

A factual review of the cases cited in Autry demonstrate the quality of evidence that is required to imply malice in these types of cases.

The Autry case involved a defendant who had four prior driving under the influence convictions, had been in an alcohol treatment program and whose probation officer had warned him not to drink and drive on the very morning of the accident. Nevertheless, with a blood alcohol level of .22, Autry proceeded to drive while drinking, was told to slow down by his passengers after two near accidents and then drove between 80 and 85 miles per hour, ignoring a flashing arrow indicating road construction and proceeded to strike and kill two construction workers.

People v. Olivas, 172 Cal. App. 3rd 984 (1985), involved a defendant under the influence of PCP who drove a speed between 50 and 100 miles per hour in a police pursuit and in a stolen car. Olivas ran four stop signs and three red lights prior to the chase ending when he ran a stop sign while traveling 57 miles per hour in a 25 mile per hour zone and struck a vehicle broadside. Olivas had four prior felony convictions for burglary, grand theft, receiving stolen property and driving or taking a vehicle without consent. People v. Albright, 173 Cal. App. 3rd 883 (1985), involved a defendant who drove 90 to 110 miles per hour on a city street was involved in an intersection collision. Albright’s blood alcohol level was .17, stated he was trying to kill himself and had one prior driving under the influence conviction.

People v. McCarnes, 179 Cal. App. 3rd 525 (1986), involved a defendant with a blood alcohol level of .27% and who drove at a speed of “65+” on a city street and drove on the wrong side of the road and collided head on with another vehicle and had four prior driving under the influence convictions.

People v. Murray, 225 Cal. App. 3rd 734 (1990), involved a defendant who was driving the wrong way on the freeway and whose driving ended with a head on collision. Murray’s blood alcohol level was determined to be between .18 and .23%, had admitted to co-workers that he had recently blacked out while driving after drinking and he had two prior driving under the influence convictions.

People v. David, 230 Cal. App. 3rd 1109 (1991), involved a defendant who under the influence of PCP, between 60 and 80 miles per hour was in a police pursuit and ran five red lights. David had two prior convictions for driving under the influence of PCP. People v. Talamantes, 11 Cal. App. 4th 968 (1992), involved a defendant who was driving at a high rate of speed with a blood alcohol level between a .26 and .31% with two prior driving under the influence convictions.

A review of these cases demonstrates that they all have certain common characteristics. All of the cases involve very high blood alcohol levels at the time of driving. The defendant in almost all of the cases have numerous prior driving under the influence convictions. Most of the cases involve defendants that have had the opportunity to learn through alcohol education programs the dangers of driving and drinking. Although the driving patterns vary, the driving exhibited is highly dangerous over a prolonged period of time and distance.

In summary, the general theme of these cases is that defendants, who have had significant experience and opportunity to learn about the dangers of driving while intoxicated, nevertheless drove in a highly dangerous fashion with high blood alcohol levels.

II
CAUSATION

Another significant issue in all of these prosecutions is whether the defendant’s conduct constituted the proximate cause of the decedent’s death. A necessary element in these types of prosecutions is that the defendant’s conduct be the proximate cause of the accident resulting in death. When the conduct of two or more persons, including the conduct of the decedent, contributes concurrently as a cause of the death, the conduct of each is a cause of the death if the conduct was also a substantial factor contributing to the result. Mitchell v. Gonzales, 54 Cal. 3rd 1041 (1991).

The contributing negligence of the decedent or a third party does not automatically relieve a criminal actor of liability. However, such contributing negligence will relieve a criminal actor of liability if the decedent or a third party’s conduct was the sole or superceding cause of the death. People v. Pike, 197 Cal. App. 3rd (1988). Thus, defendant will be relieved of criminal responsibility if an intervening or superceding cause breaks the chain of causation after the defendant’s original act or as stated in People v. Autry (1995) 37 Cal. App.4th 351 @ 361 “to relieve a defendant of criminal responsibility, an intervening or superseding cause must break the chain of causation after the defendant’s original act.”

Thus, People v. Glass, 266 Cal. App. 2nd 222 (1968), the defendant’s conviction of vehicular manslaughter, after striking two members of a road way repair crew, was reversed because the trial court did not allow defense evidence that a flagman was not present to warn of the repair work, which had considerably narrowed the street and evidence that no speed reduction signs were posted and no barricades were erected to direct traffic around the work. The appellate court held that the evidence should have been admitted because it was relevant, in part, on the issue as to whether or not the unsafe condition of the road was the sole cause of the accident.

III
GROSS & NEGLIGENT VEHICULAR MANSLAUGHTER

There are two types of vehicular manslaughter involving vehicular manslaughter while intoxicated. The more serious charge is gross vehicular manslaughter, a violation of Penal Code Section 191.5(a). That code section provides in relevant part:

“ Gross vehicular manslaughter while intoxicated is the unlawful killing of a human being without malice aforethought, in the driving of a vehicle, where the driving was in violation of Section 23140, 23152 or 23153 of the Vehicle Code, and the killing was either the proximate result of the commission of an unlawful act, not amounting to a felony, and with gross negligence, or the proximate result of the commission of a lawful act which might produce death, in an unlawful manner, and with gross negligence.”

The least serious charge is vehicular manslaughter without gross negligence, a violation of Penal Code Section 191.5(b). The relevant portion of that code section provides as follows:

“Driving a vehicle in violation of Section 23140, 23152, or 23153 of the Vehicle Code and in the commission of an unlawful act, not amounting to felony, but without gross negligence; or driving a vehicle in violation of Section 23140, 23152, or 23153 of the Vehicle Code and in the commission of a lawful act which might produce death, in an unlawful manner, but without gross negligence.”

The significant difference between these charges is the degree of negligence. Ordinary negligence is defined by CALCRIM 591as the failure to use reasonable care to prevent reasonably foreseeable harm to oneself or someone else. By contrast, gross negligence is defined in CALCRIM 590 as acting in a reckless way that creates a high risk of death or great bodily injury and that a reasonable person would have known that acting that way would have created such a risk. Further, a person acts with gross negligence when the way he or she acts is so different from the way an ordinary careful person would act in the same situation that his or her acts amounts to a disregard for human life or indifference to the consequences of the act. Case law defines gross negligence as the exercise of so slight a degree of care as to raise a presumption of conscious indifference to the consequences. It is the state of mind of a person who acts with conscious indifference as to the consequences is simply, “I don’t care what happens.” The test is objective; whether a reasonable person in the defendant’s position would have been aware of the risk involved. People v. Ochoa (1993) 6 Cal. 4th 1199. The objective standard does not limit the introduction of prior misconduct evidence as the Courts have interpreted that the objective person as a person in the defendant’s position. Therefore, the prosecution is allowed to introduce evidence of prior conviction and the defendant’s attendance and participation in alcohol rehabilitation programs in gross vehicular manslaughter prosecutions.

IV
SENTENCING ISSUES

There are various issues that pertain to sentencing in these cases. The second degree murder charge carries a sentence of 15 years to life. The gross vehicular manslaughter charge carries a range of sentences from 4, 6, or 10 years. The negligence vehicular manslaughter charge carries a sentence with a range of 16 months, 2 or 4 years.

However, Penal Code Section 191.5(b) elevates the penalty for gross vehicular manslaughter to 15 years to life, the same as the second degree murder conviction, if the defendant has suffered certain prior convictions. The sentence is elevated if the person has a prior vehicular driving impaired manslaughter conviction or if the defendant has twice been convicted of driving under the influence. This means that any defendant, who has twice been convicted of DUI, faces 15 years to life if convicted for violation of Penal Code Section 191.5(a), gross vehicular manslaughter while intoxicated. Both gross vehicular manslaughter while intoxicated and negligent vehicular manslaughter while intoxicated are serious felonies under the 3 strikes law. A defendant, who is sentenced to prison will receive 50% custody time credits.

The real problem in this area is Penal Code Section 12022.7 which imposes additional terms of imprisonment for persons inflicting great bodily injury while committing a felony. The situation often arises where passengers involved in a collision incur great bodily injury, in addition to death or deaths arising out of the same collision. Penal Code Section 12022.7(a) imposes an additional consecutive term of imprisonment for 3 years upon a person who inflicts great bodily injury and subdivision (b) of that section imposes an additional consecutive term of imprisonment for 5 years upon a person or persons who inflicts great bodily injury that causes the victim to become comatose due to brain injury or suffer paralysis of a permanent nature. The Penal Code Section 12022.7 allegation is a violent felony under the 3 strikes law and consequently, in addition to imposing significantly more time, requires that the defendant actually serve 85% of the entire sentence. The ultimate effect is to significantly increase a defendant’s maximum exposure in cases where there is death and seriously injured victims.

Finally, Vehicle Code Section 23558 provides for an additional one-year sentence enhancement for proximately causing bodily injury to more than one victim, up to a maximum of 3 years. This section does not affect time credits as does the Penal Code Section 12022.7 enhancements.

Richard A. Hutton is a partner is the Pasadena law firm of Hutton-Wilson. He has lectured extensively in the field of criminal law, with emphasis in driving under the influence cases. He has previously taught classes for the U.S.C. Advanced Professionalism Program on the subject of driving under the influence. He has lectured to various bar association groups, including California Attorneys for Criminal Justice, San Diego Trial Lawyers Association, Criminal Courts Bar Association, and Orange County Trial Lawyers. He has authored numerous articles on driving under the influence that have been published in numerous periodicals including Scientific and Expert Evidence, Second Edition.

Reading Time: 2 minutes

We regularly get requests from clients and prospective clients who say that they want a content management system for their web site. However we find that few clients that take the time to manage their content.

Some our clients do take the time to update their web sites. However, more often than not, the content is not updated as the client is too busy running a business to do the updating.

Content management systems require extra work to set up when compared to a web site that is updated by web development professionals. Search engines may have issues with finding all of the content. And if the updated content is not proofed, it can contain embarrassing errors.

This is not to say that content management systems are useless, only that if you want one you need to have the time and discipline to use it. Properly done a user updated web site can provide up to date information and fresh content which grows and grows providing rich source material for search engines.

Reading Time: 3 minutes

huge domains logoTraditional pool safety covers require anchor points to be drilled into your pool deck, which creates a safety hazard from the bolts and causes discoloration and cracks.

The Octopus pool cover frame works with both in-ground and on-ground pools and does not require bolts and anchors. It’s easy to assemble and use. After connecting the frame elements (made of galvanized steel or optional stainless steel), attach the cover and place over the pool.

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The Octopus is available in a variety of attractive colors, including standard galvanized steel, plus Ultramarine Blue, Emerald Green, Midnight Black, and the Bright Silver of stainless steel on request. A standard size fits almost any pool. ThOctopus can even spread out to cover odd shapes.

The Octopus pool cover safety frame makes your pool safe without deck damage or drilling. It is a safe, secure and easy-to-use way to protect your pool, your family, and your deck.

You can find out more about the Octopus pool cover safety frame by visiting their website.

Reading Time: 3 minutes

The Internet today offers several avenues for exposure beyond traditional Search Engine Optimization. Working in concert with a firm that has expertise in these avenues can increase visibility, search engine rankings, and business. These avenues are often considered part of Social Marketing.

One is to use the Internet to publish articles. You write the article and your web development company publishes it on a myriad of Internet sites. Well written and interesting articles can not only get wide circulation, but enhance your reputation as well.

A second way is to use blogs. The web development company would set up the blog and you regularly add content. Done correctly, the blog pages that you add would get wide and fast circulation.

You might consider adding video content to your site. Relatively inexpensive equipment is available to take acceptable videos. You may already have suitable equipment. Well done videos are interesting content which can be publicized them on the Internet. There is also much less competition for videos. For one client’s main keyword there were over 750,000 pages indexed by Google, and less that 175 videos.

Webconsuls, LLC We are a web site development company with expertise and experience in designing and building web sites, in Search Engine Optimization, and in Social Marketing.

Webconsuls > SEO

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Conscientious web users need to protect themselves from spam scams that can waste their time, steal personal information, and turn their computers into “zombies” spewing more spam throughout the Internet.

Spam methods change quickly and what was popular last month may be outdated next month. A popular one today is “greeting card spam” when someone you do not know sends you an e-greeting card. To read it you have to download a special program which could contain code would compromise your system. An insidious version of this spam scam is to use information on the web, such as at MySpace.com, to find your friends and use their name to send the card. Be very careful before downloading any program.

Stock market “pump and dump” schemes are also popular today. A spammer will buy a penny stock and then send millions of emails “pumping” the stock. If only a few people buy the stock then it will go up and the spammer will “dump” and take a profit. If you get unsolicited information that seems too good to be true, then it probably is.

To protect yourself you use up up to date anti-virus software that has the latest virus information. You should avoid clicking on links in emails but rather type in the complete URL since what you see in the email may not be where you end up. Keep your financial and other confidential information on a flash drive and only connect it when you need to access the information. Do not fall for schemes. Use common sense.